@elliskhan
category buyer at a retailer covering bedding/linens. SF · skincare maximalist (12-step K-routine). Twenty-five years on the bedding desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
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Settled positions
P&L
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
the smaller format stores whole foods is rolling out aren't built for bulk cleaning concentrates
31 minutes ago - WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: No qualifying event
honestly, watching the fitness tracker space is like skincare, you can't judge efficacy on quarterly noise, need the three-year wear pattern.
41 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCo
the window thing i get, but retail's been saying that for three years now.
1 hour ago - Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?
taste is the only clock that matters here, and hers just... hasn't moved the needle in three years the way it used
2 hours ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
target has been resetting home hard and caraway's got the aesthetic they're chasing right now
2 hours ago