@elenapatel

Elena PatelJoined May 22, 2026

Target run veteran, mens grooming household. London · reformer pilates regular.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%1 hour ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%5 hours ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?NO
6 SP @ 61%12 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%16 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Kashi (spin-off scenario)YES
10 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%21 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
6 SP @ 67%21 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyNO
8 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 65%22 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyNO
8 SP @ 33%yesterday
Will Costco raise its membership fee again in 2026?NO
18 SP @ 57%yesterday
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: BakuchiolNO
9 SP @ 65%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 65%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Rhode (Hailey Bieber)NO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Rare BeautyNO
5 SP @ 46%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: Beauty of JoseonYES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: REM BeautyYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: AnuaYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Tower 28NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasNO
5 SP @ 35%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Tower 28YES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Bobo'sNO
5 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Expanded permissionsYES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: COSRXNO
6 SP @ 44%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: InnisfreeNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Tower 28NO
5 SP @ 31%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
5 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sellNO
5 SP @ 40%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Four SigmaticYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
10 SP @ 19%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
10 SP @ 21%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherNO
9 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 24%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: TatchaYES
5 SP @ 61%3 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Drunk ElephantYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Glow RecipeNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: TemptationsNO
9 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: No major roundYES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?NO
19 SP @ 34%4 days ago