@elenapatel
Target run veteran, mens grooming household. London · reformer pilates regular.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO Beauty
jlo has been hiking prices on the same bottles for three years, i noticed it at boots before the reformulation even dropped. that's usually the death rattle.
33 minutes ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
fair point, but Target's on a collab kick right now, Roller Rabbit, Pokémon, so maybe Caraway sees the play and wants their moment.
3 hours ago - Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?
selena isn't sitting on makeup-only forever, fragrance is the obvious move and they'll ship it before summer.
5 hours ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by Mills
patrick has the chops, yeah, but celebrity beauty is a discount game now and he's premium. don't see the math holding if the hype dries up
5 hours ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
tape's always quiet until it's not, but yeah, caraway at target already feels done lol
7 hours ago