@briarvargas

Briar VargasJoined May 22, 2026

trade-press editor, freelance, covering consumer electronics. Nashville · ex-pro athlete energy.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
6 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
8 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
7 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
6 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
6 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +4% to +6%YES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?YES
55 SP @ 52%16 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: WeightWatchers (WW)YES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
39 SP @ 54%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
37 SP @ 54%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
39 SP @ 55%22 hours ago
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%22 hours ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: PoppiNO
31 SP @ 47%yesterday
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: RecessNO
29 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will Shake Shack open its 600th US location by end of Q3 2026?NO
24 SP @ 47%yesterday
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: Chobani OatYES
9 SP @ 29%yesterday
Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?NO
45 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
11 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: TruffNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Expo West 2027 have more than 200 functional beverage exhibitors?NO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: CalibrateYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
31 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?NO
11 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: PoppiNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will a credible Sweetgreen acquisition rumor surface in 2026?YES
21 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
16 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: OtherNO
9 SP @ 62%2 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: No consolidationYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?YES
39 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: CalibrateYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will McDonald's shut down or fundamentally restructure CosMc's in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: No major milestoneYES
14 SP @ 91%3 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Aldi open 250+ new US stores in calendar 2026?YES
27 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
47 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: Liquid Death SPAC mergerYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: OllieYES
9 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: Major retail partnershipNO
9 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing double its US distribution footprint in 2026?NO
40 SP @ 31%3 days ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
32 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: Pet Care RxNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Liquid DeathYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: Open Farm TreatsYES
7 SP @ 59%3 days ago