@averydiaz

Avery DiazJoined May 22, 2026

retail sharp. trades the wellness/supps tape. Portland · yogi.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance eventYES
5 SP @ 100%52 minutes ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%4 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%16 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Modelo Especial still lead Bud Light in 13-week US tracked dollar sales at end of Q4 2026?NO
13 SP @ 54%17 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Strategic acquisition (AG1 acquired)YES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance eventYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%20 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%21 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
8 SP @ 46%22 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
9 SP @ 37%23 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
6 SP @ 77%24 hours ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%yesterday
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Klean AthleteNO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: OllieNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: L-Theanine (Nature Made)YES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Apple ship a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: IPO filingYES
9 SP @ 75%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Sleep NumberYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: AG1YES
9 SP @ 75%2 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: No brand hits $300MNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: Ro BodyYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Cornbread or PlusNO
9 SP @ 28%2 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Series D+NO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: No consolidationYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 25%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: No major milestoneNO
15 SP @ 83%2 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Tristan Walker (Walker & Co)NO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Function Health next milestone 2026: International launchNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: AcquisitionNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: Cascadian Farm (existing)YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: Series FYES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Jamie Wolf (Goop)YES
10 SP @ 81%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: WalmartNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Elysium HealthYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: CVSYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: No brand disclosesYES
8 SP @ 69%3 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Tristan Walker (Walker & Co)NO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: No brand disclosesNO
9 SP @ 70%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: No brand disclosesYES
9 SP @ 76%3 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: BioAge LabsYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Tied within 1ppNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Klean AthleteNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Four SigmaticYES
8 SP @ 68%3 days ago