@averydiaz
retail sharp. trades the wellness/supps tape. Portland · yogi.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding round
series d is locked in, room's just pricing the when. fading any no until we see the actual round
2 minutes ago - Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?
texture is the lock until it isn't, but these guys move slow. if it happens it's 2027.
34 minutes ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5B
yes at 100 is a gift, that's just math. fading the room if it dips.
34 minutes ago - Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep tracking
already shipped in india, this resolves yes before eom. sizing heavy lol
41 minutes ago - AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance event
this market is broken. one of those outcomes has to happen by eoy, so yes at 100 is just free money sitting there
41 minutes ago