@micahpowell

Micah PowellJoined May 18, 2026

supply chain lead at supps co, ($5-30M revenue). Denver · fertility tracking. Three years on the wellness desk.

Calibration

0.33

Top 79% of 68

Win rate

100%

2W · 0L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-20 SP

Calibration

3 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 54%2 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
6 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%11 hours ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%12 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Will Wendy's expand its late-night / 24-hour pilot to 1,000+ US locations in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%16 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Magic SpoonYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BYES
8 SP @ 63%23 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
8 SP @ 43%23 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BNO
8 SP @ 53%23 hours ago
WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: AcquisitionYES
40 SP @ 52%23 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundNO
41 SP @ 37%23 hours ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%23 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
8 SP @ 56%24 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)NO
40 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 74%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BNO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 71%yesterday
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: HimsNO
8 SP @ 33%yesterday
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 65%yesterday
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 69%yesterday
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: PlushCareNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Both in 2026NO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Plus CBDYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 24%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: HimsNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: FoundNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: UnileverNO
11 SP @ 15%2 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Major retail partnershipYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: RhodeNO
10 SP @ 18%2 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: HimsNO
9 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Bulk SupplementsYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 72%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Liquid DeathNO
9 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Tally HealthYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Apple Sleep feature launch 2026: Vision Pro sleep maskYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: OuraYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Lemme Sleep (Kourtney K)YES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: Liquid DeathYES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: No acquisitionNO
9 SP @ 28%3 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Major retail partnershipYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: TalkspaceYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: Series G+YES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 68%4 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: L-Theanine (Nature Made)YES
8 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Most-acquired non-alc beer brand in 2026: Heineken 0.0 (already big)YES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: FoundYES
9 SP @ 75%4 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Tristan Walker (Walker & Co)YES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: TalkspaceYES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Mark Cuban Cost PlusYES
8 SP @ 64%4 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: FoundYES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Elysium HealthNO
9 SP @ 23%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: FoundNO
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: OllyNO
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
GLP-1 telehealth that consolidates first in 2026: HimsNO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: RyzeYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q1 2026YES
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: PlushCareYES
8 SP @ 63%4 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q1 2026NO
9 SP @ 28%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 34%4 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Four SigmaticNO
9 SP @ 71%4 days ago
Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?YES
43 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: No enforcement actionYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: CostcoYES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
13 SP @ 90%4 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: Urolithin AYES
11 SP @ 87%4 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago