@laneshah

Lane ShahJoined May 22, 2026

freelance trade reporter at a trade media outlet covering masstige beauty. Manhattan · barre. Has seen every cycle in beauty.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%5 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%5 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%17 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Shake Shack open its 600th US location by end of Q3 2026?NO
38 SP @ 51%18 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%19 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026NO
15 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandNO
34 SP @ 44%23 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyNO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Glow RecipeYES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
9 SP @ 26%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)YES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?NO
7 SP @ 52%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
7 SP @ 51%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: COSRXYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $1B to $2BNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: REM BeautyYES
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: RhodeYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: KosasNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Glow RecipeYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: BakuchiolNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: $500M to $1BYES
6 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: ThorneNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will a US streaming service win an NBA, NFL, or MLB exclusive package in 2026?NO
29 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
7 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
10 SP @ 28%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Rhode (Hailey Bieber) acquisition price if sold: Under $500MYES
9 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Pleasing (Harry Styles)NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Supplement brand pulled by FDA in 2026: No enforcement actionYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: Tranexamic acidNO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Status quoNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago