@ivypowell

Ivy PowellJoined May 22, 2026

empty-nester, cookware household. Brooklyn · vintage thrifter.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic BrewingYES
5 SP @ 100%10 minutes ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
7 SP @ 100%10 minutes ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest BeautyYES
5 SP @ 100%16 minutes ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%16 minutes ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%16 minutes ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%1 hour ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzerYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Yuengling expand into a new US state in 2026?YES
20 SP @ 66%11 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: WithingsYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 31%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 52%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalNO
41 SP @ 53%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other strategicNO
8 SP @ 61%24 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamNO
28 SP @ 46%24 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 28%yesterday
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: MondelezNO
9 SP @ 64%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
9 SP @ 66%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: CoQ10YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Apple ship a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?YES
17 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 42%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
9 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
9 SP @ 71%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: BoweryYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: OllieYES
9 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: Red BaronNO
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
43 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: DaiyaYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
5 SP @ 41%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago