@evelynhale

Evelyn HaleJoined May 22, 2026

shared-household decision-maker, household household. Austin · new mom (Lucie's List).

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 41%45 minutes ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%5 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%16 hours ago
Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: None of the aboveYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
10 SP @ 21%18 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
55 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
8 SP @ 61%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeNO
28 SP @ 35%21 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: ChompsNO
34 SP @ 44%22 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Best Day BrewingNO
40 SP @ 50%22 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 59%23 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: CaulipowerNO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandNO
40 SP @ 48%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 34%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
9 SP @ 72%yesterday
Will an AI music generator hit 10M monthly active users in 2026?YES
15 SP @ 40%yesterday
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: Bachan'sYES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+YES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4NO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: CostcoNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Jen Atkin (Ouai)YES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Avocado GreenNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
9 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 61%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
7 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: ThorneYES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+YES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: Campbell'sYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayNO
5 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Pet wearable to hit 1M subscribers 2026: FiYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Athletic Greens (AG1) next major event: Series D+YES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
9 SP @ 26%4 days ago