@averypark

Avery ParkJoined May 22, 2026

ex-finance turned full-time trader. trades the bedding/linens tape. Chicago · Enneagram pilled.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
7 SP @ 100%24 minutes ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%24 minutes ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Over +6%YES
5 SP @ 100%56 minutes ago
Will Rivian begin delivering the R2 to customers in 2026?YES
30 SP @ 64%56 minutes ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
6 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: Series G+ Private RoundYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: No acquisitionYES
5 SP @ 100%7 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%13 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: None of the aboveYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 22%18 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%19 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandNO
40 SP @ 53%21 hours ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%21 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 39%21 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%22 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%22 hours ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item BeautyYES
8 SP @ 63%24 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamNO
40 SP @ 49%24 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultNO
9 SP @ 23%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
9 SP @ 74%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 66%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Function HealthNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoYES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: No brand hits $50MNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridNO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Skims BeautyYES
9 SP @ 72%3 days ago
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: OtherNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: Tristan Walker (Walker & Co)YES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridYES
9 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Branch BasicsNO
6 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2NO
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago