@loganyoon

Logan YoonJoined May 22, 2026

fashion creator, freelance, covering intimates. Manhattan · amateur historian.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: No brand discloses by Dec 31 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%this minute
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 49%this minute
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%3 minutes ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 49%44 minutes ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
18 SP @ 48%2 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Untitled Art (NA line)YES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removedYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
59 SP @ 46%6 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
48 SP @ 56%18 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 55%20 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
19 SP @ 41%21 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%24 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
25 SP @ 46%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
37 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
32 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
50 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
60 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Athletic BrewingYES
7 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
5 SP @ 73%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Athletic Brewing file for an IPO in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
25 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
12 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
31 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
9 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
5 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: SilkYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 70%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: MayawellNO
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: BakuchiolYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Biggest snack IPO of 2026: No major IPONO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Soda alternativeNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: None launch nationalYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago