@juliarivera

Julia RiveraJoined May 22, 2026

snack-aisle browser, home/decor household. Brooklyn · just got engaged (effusive).

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?YES
22 SP @ 57%19 minutes ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%44 minutes ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
7 SP @ 100%1 hour ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%2 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%3 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%3 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 30%4 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 35%5 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%5 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 72%6 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%15 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 22%19 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
7 SP @ 42%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 44%23 hours ago
Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 53%yesterday
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: No qualifying acquisitionYES
6 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?NO
22 SP @ 36%yesterday
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsNO
7 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?YES
15 SP @ 57%yesterday
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: NiacinamideYES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentYES
5 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
5 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: No major acquisitionNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: Olipop SPAC mergerYES
7 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): Not acquired by EOY 2026NO
7 SP @ 53%2 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +4% to +6%NO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
5 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchYES
8 SP @ 69%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: IPO filingNO
9 SP @ 68%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
5 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+YES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: Coca-ColaNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: No major acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+YES
8 SP @ 68%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 68%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
6 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon be acquired by a strategic in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Target launchNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: Athletic Brewing SPACYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: Liquid Death SPAC mergerYES
7 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanNO
9 SP @ 25%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
6 SP @ 57%3 days ago