@graypark

Gray ParkJoined May 22, 2026

beauty creator, freelance, covering athleticwear. Manhattan · writes verse on the side.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
22 SP @ 45%26 minutes ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
29 SP @ 45%29 minutes ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
34 SP @ 55%29 minutes ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
54 SP @ 52%39 minutes ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
19 SP @ 56%2 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%3 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
58 SP @ 45%4 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%5 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 46%17 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: PoppiYES
37 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 48%19 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%20 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
51 SP @ 59%20 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 39%22 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
44 SP @ 37%22 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
26 SP @ 50%23 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
44 SP @ 37%23 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 42%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
37 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
58 SP @ 54%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 33%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
55 SP @ 45%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 59%yesterday
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.8B – $3.0BNO
6 SP @ 40%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
45 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
49 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
54 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 42%2 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: KosasNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Starbucks close 100+ underperforming US stores in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)YES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Chewy vs Petco market cap winner EOY 2026: Within 5% of each otherNO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)NO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 25%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: FoundYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 74%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
40 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
9 SP @ 27%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
55 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago