@emersonhayes

Emerson HayesJoined May 22, 2026

ex-hedge-fund analyst. trades the kids/baby tape. Austin · cat person.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
5 SP @ 100%5 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
9 SP @ 100%44 minutes ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%44 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
6 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: None of the above / No snack IPOYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
60 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
42 SP @ 40%21 hours ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Declines YoYYES
8 SP @ 42%21 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GYES
41 SP @ 62%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezNO
40 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
42 SP @ 41%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
40 SP @ 60%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleNO
40 SP @ 48%23 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GNO
41 SP @ 54%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleNO
41 SP @ 55%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
40 SP @ 53%yesterday
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: None of the aboveNO
40 SP @ 43%yesterday
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Function HealthYES
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Function Health next milestone 2026: International launchYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Apple Sleep feature launch 2026: No major featureYES
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredNO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Once Upon a FarmYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Cornbread HempYES
9 SP @ 76%2 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Athletic BrewingYES
9 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: Under 4%YES
5 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?YES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 60%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Glow RecipeNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: OlipopYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Oura IPO timing: No IPO filingNO
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: Series G+NO
9 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Will Dutch Bros operate 1,000+ shops by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: Over $3.0BYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Bryan Johnson BlueprintNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: RoNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: PlushCareNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will McDonald's shut down or fundamentally restructure CosMc's in 2026?NO
41 SP @ 37%3 days ago
First plant-based dog food to $100M revenue: V-DogYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Sleep NumberNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago