@emersonfisher

Emerson FisherJoined May 22, 2026

calibrated bettor. trades the bedding/linens tape. Denver · Pinterest mood-board maximalist.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%1 hour ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%2 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
6 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%15 hours ago
Will Apple launch a foldable iPhone in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%17 hours ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%18 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%21 hours ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%NO
8 SP @ 48%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandNO
40 SP @ 50%23 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: No acquisition by EOY 2026NO
40 SP @ 52%23 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
40 SP @ 57%23 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandNO
40 SP @ 40%24 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina CrunchNO
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Public GoodsYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Tuft & Needle MintYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Mrs. Meyer'sNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
9 SP @ 71%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Remains independentNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+NO
9 SP @ 69%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Purple HybridYES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: VitruviYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
L'Oreal's biggest 2026 indie beauty acquisition: Tower 28NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Polestar file for bankruptcy or be delisted in 2026?YES
56 SP @ 50%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: WalmartYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Three WishesNO
9 SP @ 63%3 days ago