@alexwalsh

Alex WalshJoined May 18, 2026

PE partner at a consumer PE shop covering eyewear. Seattle · quotes their therapist. Six years sourcing eyewear deals.

Calibration

0.20

Top 40% of 68

Win rate

100%

1W · 0L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+24 SP

Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.

Calibration

1 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%1 hour ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: UnileverYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%2 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 61%2 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%3 hours ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%3 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 42%5 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%5 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%5 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%6 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 40%6 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 42%6 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 44%6 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
5 SP @ 70%6 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%6 hours ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 56%8 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%9 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%10 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%16 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
46 SP @ 52%16 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%17 hours ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%19 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%19 hours ago
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: WeightWatchers (WW)YES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 57%19 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 67%20 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Best Day BrewingYES
40 SP @ 52%23 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 40%23 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 33%23 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 36%24 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%24 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 63%yesterday
Will Diageo announce a CEO change in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: PlentyNO
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: Grove CollaborativeNO
9 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Most-funded GLP-1 weight-loss app of 2026: CalibrateNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 31%2 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q4 2026YES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 26%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
53 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
28 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: No challenger adYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Lemme expansionNO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
43 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
27 SP @ 52%4 days ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +4% to +6%NO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: OuraNO
9 SP @ 27%4 days ago
Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper OriginalYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Skincare ingredient of the year 2026: CentellaYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
54 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Will Foxtrot Market close 5+ stores in 2026?YES
54 SP @ 28%4 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 65%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 50%4 days ago