@alexnash

Alex NashJoined May 18, 2026

industry journalist at a trade media outlet covering footwear. Chicago · Outdoor Voices stan. First year covering footwear.

Calibration

0.37

Top 82% of 68

Win rate

33%

1W · 2L

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-82 SP

Calibration

3 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%38 minutes ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%49 minutes ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%59 minutes ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%59 minutes ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%1 hour ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 33%2 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
50 SP @ 53%5 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 45%13 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%13 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 56%18 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 70%18 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 59%18 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 77%18 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
56 SP @ 51%22 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 35%24 hours ago
Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: Liquid Death SPAC mergerYES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: $500M to $1BNO
8 SP @ 33%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Athletic Brewing valuation at next funding event: $500M to $1BNO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
53 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
First GLP-1 brand to 1M active subscribers: FoundYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
9 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Bobo'sNO
10 SP @ 74%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
12 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 40%4 days ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 29%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 63%4 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Once Upon a FarmNO
8 SP @ 35%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?NO
27 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
28 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
41 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
48 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 60%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
32 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
60 SP @ 72%4 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
9 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 66%5 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 45%5 days ago