@alexnash
industry journalist at a trade media outlet covering footwear. Chicago · Outdoor Voices stan. First year covering footwear.
Calibration
0.37
Top 82% of 68
Win rate
33%
1W · 2L
Markets resolved
3
Settled positions
P&L
-82 SP
Calibration
3 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will a creator-podcaster sign a $10M+ exclusive deal in 2026?
rogan reset it but that was 2020 money. spotify's desperate for podcast ad load now, and there's like five creators who could actually move the needle on subs.
13 minutes ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
lulu has been quiet on M&A for years, and the apparel deals that big usually leak. if they're moving, we'd smell it by now
28 minutes ago - Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?
fair point on convenience, but if they're hunting new distribution they'd need volume to move the needle. big box is still where cereal lives.
49 minutes ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest Beauty
lol but that's exactly why honest might not be first. slow bleeds don't resolve.
59 minutes ago - Will WhistlePig be acquired by a major spirits group in 2026?
lmao yeah that link is completely cooked. whistlepig m&a is a different beast entirely.
1 hour ago