@oliviaalvarez

Olivia AlvarezJoined May 22, 2026

fitness regular, cookware household. Manhattan · The Cut subscriber.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%19 minutes ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%26 minutes ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: CleancultYES
6 SP @ 100%26 minutes ago
Will Diageo announce it's divesting or spinning off Casamigos in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 46%3 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
6 SP @ 100%8 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%8 hours ago
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 66%8 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
5 SP @ 100%10 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Netflix cross 300M global subscribers by Q4 2026?NO
29 SP @ 65%18 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?NO
8 SP @ 48%21 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
5 SP @ 100%21 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: None of the above / No snack IPONO
40 SP @ 51%22 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandYES
16 SP @ 50%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandNO
27 SP @ 38%22 hours ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
20 SP @ 54%23 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandNO
8 SP @ 51%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicNO
7 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 35%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original FoamYES
33 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalYES
40 SP @ 51%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Tuft & Needle OriginalNO
34 SP @ 47%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicNO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Helix Midnight LuxeYES
34 SP @ 53%yesterday
Top-selling cat treat brand 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 33%yesterday
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: TalkspaceYES
8 SP @ 51%yesterday
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Cornbread HempNO
9 SP @ 70%yesterday
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Always PanYES
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Vegan Rob'sNO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Bobo'sNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 69%2 days ago
Casper exit path: BankruptcyNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: Wild EarthNO
9 SP @ 23%2 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Grove CollaborativeYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4NO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Casper exit path: Remains private under current ownerNO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: None hit $100MYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Andrew Huberman lineYES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Magnesium Glycinate (Thorne)NO
14 SP @ 8%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: Series B+YES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingNO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: CarawayNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Material KitchenNO
9 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Open SpacesNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: GoodthreadsNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Most-viral home brand on TikTok 2026: Great JonesNO
5 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionYES
7 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Hearth & Hand (new line)YES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifYES
9 SP @ 33%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Casper exit path: Re-IPONO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Most-acquired home/cleaning brand 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Andrew Huberman lineYES
8 SP @ 69%3 days ago