@noellopez

Noel LopezJoined May 22, 2026

founder/CEO at travel co, ($0-5M revenue). Denver · crochet/knitting (Ravelry).

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Tesla produce 100K Cybertrucks by EOY 2026?NO
5 SP @ 35%1 hour ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%1 hour ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%3 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%3 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%3 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
48 SP @ 47%8 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%8 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 30%9 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%9 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
55 SP @ 48%15 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
42 SP @ 46%17 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
48 SP @ 43%18 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
18 SP @ 57%18 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 48%19 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
55 SP @ 39%20 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
21 SP @ 42%21 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 43%21 hours ago
Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 48%21 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
40 SP @ 58%23 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 36%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsYES
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
10 SP @ 52%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveNO
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
51 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
43 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?YES
50 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
37 SP @ 50%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Grove CollaborativeNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 35%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?NO
38 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: CostcoNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
5 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Best-selling frozen pizza brand 2026: DaiyaNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
36 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Expanded permissionsNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
41 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Hims's biggest 2026 acquisition: TalkspaceNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: No challenger adYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 28%3 days ago
Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?NO
58 SP @ 44%3 days ago