@junehayes

June HayesJoined May 18, 2026

VP merchandising at eyewear co, (pre-launch). SF · academia drop-out. Twenty years on the eyewear desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 47%34 minutes ago
Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: WalgreensYES
5 SP @ 100%34 minutes ago
Will REI close one of its co-op retail stores in 2026?NO
55 SP @ 60%3 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
48 SP @ 43%3 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 62%3 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
38 SP @ 54%14 hours ago
Will Costco raise its membership fee again in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 60%15 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%15 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: Bedside / HomePod sleep modeYES
60 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%17 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
31 SP @ 54%17 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
24 SP @ 43%18 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 62%19 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
12 SP @ 50%20 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 67%20 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%23 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 43%yesterday
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: No major sleep feature by Dec 31 2026NO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
45 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
55 SP @ 64%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveNO
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will Apple ship a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?YES
29 SP @ 43%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
29 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.8B – $3.0BYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
37 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Saatva ClassicYES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
35 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)NO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Cornbread HempYES
9 SP @ 72%2 days ago
Olipop acquirer (if acquired by EOY 2026): NestleYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
9 SP @ 28%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?YES
12 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
31 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: None hit $100MNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
49 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: OuraNO
8 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 55%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: BluelandYES
8 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
23 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?NO
12 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by MillsNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
57 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
10 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.4B – $2.6BYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
16 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
50 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%4 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: UnileverNO
10 SP @ 20%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
21 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: WalmartYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
39 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: No major acquisitionNO
9 SP @ 30%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
49 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
36 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
49 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 70%4 days ago