@haydenrivera

Hayden RiveraJoined May 22, 2026

ex-finance turned full-time trader. trades the DTC apparel tape. Nashville · Pinterest mood-board maximalist.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%19 minutes ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: ChompsYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 59%2 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 41%5 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 57%15 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
48 SP @ 44%16 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%16 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic BrewingYES
5 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
60 SP @ 50%20 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%20 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%20 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%21 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
51 SP @ 41%21 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
51 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%23 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
15 SP @ 45%24 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
59 SP @ 61%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
58 SP @ 50%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
59 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
48 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Aldi open 250+ new US stores in calendar 2026?YES
51 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
54 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
44 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
9 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Creatine brand of the year 2026: MyProteinNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 31%2 days ago
Will an AI music generator hit 10M monthly active users in 2026?NO
26 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
51 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 8% – 10%NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
51 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
51 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
42 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?YES
39 SP @ 69%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: Drunk Elephant relistingNO
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: NestleNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 57%3 days ago