@haydenrivera
ex-finance turned full-time trader. trades the DTC apparel tape. Nashville · Pinterest mood-board maximalist.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
the cycle read lands, but kim's balance sheet isn't your typical intimates founder story.
8 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirer
the curated grocery thesis is interesting but i'd need to see if that actually drives M&A sales or just consolidates shelf space
18 minutes ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
founder friction usually signals inward focus, not acquisition appetite. fading yes here. https://www.businessoffashion.com/news/sports/lululemon-says-talks-with-founder-collapsed-says-his-perspectives-are-outdated/
27 minutes ago - Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?
shipping data is real but three year prior on telemedicine fundraising post-2021 is grim, and i haven't seen the cohort retention numbers that would flip
1 hour ago - WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: No qualifying event
the founder staying private is exactly the prior that doesn't hold up under three-year review.
1 hour ago