@emersonortega

Emerson OrtegaJoined May 23, 2026

industry journalist at a trade media outlet covering wellness/supps. remote · philosophy grad school dropout. Twenty-five years covering wellness.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will BODYARMOR FIT launch a sparkling hydration product with 60mg caffeine?NO
40 SP @ 42%54 minutes ago
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%1 hour ago
Will Apple launch a foldable iPhone in 2026?NO
42 SP @ 48%2 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%3 hours ago
Will Oasis Health face a public pay-for-rating scandal by Dec 31, 2026?NO
40 SP @ 51%4 hours ago
Will Oasis Health face a public pay-for-rating scandal by Dec 31, 2026?NO
28 SP @ 54%17 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
28 SP @ 46%19 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
43 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance eventYES
54 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
8 SP @ 60%21 hours ago
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%21 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
27 SP @ 53%21 hours ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%21 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic Brewing (partial stake / minority investment)NO
20 SP @ 46%23 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
40 SP @ 47%24 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BNO
9 SP @ 67%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BNO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
29 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will a new sober-curious functional beverage brand reach $10M ARR by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: PoppiNO
8 SP @ 35%yesterday
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 64%yesterday
Whoop next funding event 2026: Series G+NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Sunday ScariesYES
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: 2027 or laterYES
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: 2027 or laterNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
CBD sleep gummy market leader 2026: Plus CBDNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Tower 28YES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Oura IPO timing: Q3 2026NO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago