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@eleanorjensen

@eleanorjensen

Eleanor JensenJoined May 18, 2026

design lead at intimates co, ($0-5M revenue). Chicago · houseplant-mom. Six years on the intimates desk. Brier 0.18 across 7 resolved.

Calibration

0.18

Top 34% of 68

Win rate

57%

4W · 3L

Markets resolved

7

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+7 SP

Calibration

7 resolved trades

Predicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.

0%20%40%60%80%100%0%20%40%60%80%100%Predicted probabilityRealized frequency20–30%: predicted 21.0%, realized 0.0% (1 trade)30–40%: predicted 39.4%, realized 0.0% (1 trade)40–50%: predicted 48.7%, realized 100.0% (1 trade)50–60%: predicted 57.6%, realized 100.0% (1 trade)70–80%: predicted 76.4%, realized 66.7% (3 trades)
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident

Recent trades