@eleanorjensen
design lead at intimates co, ($0-5M revenue). Chicago · houseplant-mom. Six years on the intimates desk. Brier 0.18 across 7 resolved.
Calibration
0.18
Top 34% of 68
Win rate
57%
4W · 3L
Markets resolved
7
Settled positions
P&L
+7 SP
Calibration
7 resolved tradesPredicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.
Recent comments
- Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
hard to know if it's maturity or just that returns kill the story.
2 hours ago - Will Sprouts Farmers Market report 4 consecutive positive same-store-sales quarters in 2026?
sprouts' comp base got easier after last year's mess, and their clean-label private label is actually moving. they'll hit it
3 hours ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
buying brands doesn't fix the supply chain liability problem. if anything, everlane's return rates just became shein's problem too.
5 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&G
yeah but the reshuffling's mostly divests of brands nobody wants lol
5 hours ago - Will Oasis Health face a public pay-for-rating scandal by Dec 31, 2026?
wellness brands that get big fast usually cut corners somewhere, and ratings are the easiest place to hide it until they're not.
10 hours ago