@caseymoss

Casey MossJoined May 22, 2026

day trader. trades the jewelry tape. Chicago · group chat 5+ years deep.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%9 minutes ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 38%3 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 46%3 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 34%10 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 35%10 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%15 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
42 SP @ 52%17 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 32%19 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%20 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 50%21 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 62%22 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 45%23 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
44 SP @ 61%24 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
46 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 60%yesterday
Will Samsung announce a Galaxy Ring 2 (second-generation) in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%yesterday
Novo Nordisk or Eli Lilly: First GLP-1 cardiovascular drug ad campaign in 2026: Novo Nordisk firstYES
40 SP @ 54%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
9 SP @ 30%yesterday
Most-acquired pet treat brand 2026: BixbiNO
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: Kraft HeinzNO
9 SP @ 27%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%2 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: NoneNO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
9 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Biggest CPG fundraise of 2026 (band): Under $50MNO
9 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?YES
31 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: OllieYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Method (SC Johnson)YES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: Over $3.0BNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
9 SP @ 30%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: Tempur Sealy (smart line)YES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
6 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Whoop next funding event 2026: AcquisitionYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 65%3 days ago