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@ameliaashworth

@ameliaashworth

Amelia AshworthJoined May 18, 2026

fractional CFO, freelance, covering intimates. Toronto · Co-Star daily. Brier 0.25 across 6 resolved.

Calibration

0.25

Top 50% of 68

Win rate

50%

3W · 3L

Markets resolved

6

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-13 SP

Calibration

5 resolved trades

Predicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.

0%20%40%60%80%100%0%20%40%60%80%100%Predicted probabilityRealized frequency60–70%: predicted 65.1%, realized 50.0% (4 trades)70–80%: predicted 74.9%, realized 100.0% (1 trade)
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident

Recent trades