Independent binaries. Prices can sum past 100%.
Rule
This market resolves YES for the skincare ingredient with the highest year-over-year increase in new product launches across Sephora and Ulta Beauty during 2026, measured by the count of new SKUs containing that ingredient. Source: Sephora.com and Ulta Beauty official product databases, tracked monthly. In a dispute, the higher count across both retailers is used.
Source: https://www.cew.org/
Resolves by May 8, 2027.