@stellaramos

Stella RamosJoined May 22, 2026

shared-household decision-maker, footwear household. Boulder · sober-curious.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
12 SP @ 44%37 minutes ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 48%37 minutes ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%1 hour ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Kashi (spin-off scenario)YES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
28 SP @ 54%2 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
35 SP @ 38%5 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
57 SP @ 42%8 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 39%8 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
13 SP @ 48%9 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
55 SP @ 38%10 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
31 SP @ 39%10 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
18 SP @ 47%11 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
41 SP @ 39%16 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
24 SP @ 54%17 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
32 SP @ 55%18 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 73%18 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 48%19 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
29 SP @ 56%19 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 46%19 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 60%20 hours ago
Will Five Below scale back its Five Beyond pricing experiment in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 60%20 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
22 SP @ 43%21 hours ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
38 SP @ 35%22 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
55 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
47 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
42 SP @ 51%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 40%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Caraway exit path 2026: IPO filingYES
8 SP @ 62%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
9 SP @ 27%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
16 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
43 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
33 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
5 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 72%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
38 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
16 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
9 SP @ 27%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
23 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
47 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?YES
23 SP @ 26%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare BeautyYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Earth EchoYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
58 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
44 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Largest CPG fundraise announced between May 16 and July 15, 2026 (deal-size band): $100M – $200MYES
9 SP @ 76%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 56%4 days ago