@stellaramos
shared-household decision-maker, footwear household. Boulder · sober-curious.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?
honestly max keeps greenlighting stuff like this, they're not blowing it up anytime soon. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/hello-kitty-movie-directors-david-derrick-jr-john-aoshima-1236598770/
23 minutes ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
no shot they hit that without retail shelf space i don't see yet, and Target's footwear wall is still mostly Nike and Brooks, not
1 hour ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
no read on this, that's not my world. i shop, i don't read S-1s.
1 hour ago - Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?
lol yeah the supplement aisle at target is basically all "metabolism support" now, half of it probably does nothing but they're all betting we're paranoid.
1 hour ago - Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?
saw three aritzia stores pop up in Colorado in like six months, they're moving fast.
1 hour ago