@sofiaunderhill

Sofia UnderhillJoined May 22, 2026

perimenopause warrior, accessories household. Denver · marathon runner.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
24 SP @ 53%31 minutes ago
Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?YES
26 SP @ 55%35 minutes ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 52%3 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
21 SP @ 50%9 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: Bedside / HomePod sleep modeYES
5 SP @ 100%9 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
21 SP @ 37%10 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 41%13 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 55%14 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 62%16 hours ago
Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%16 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%17 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 35%19 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 48%20 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
25 SP @ 54%20 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 62%22 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%22 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 62%22 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
40 SP @ 52%23 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
41 SP @ 57%23 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
21 SP @ 59%23 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
37 SP @ 35%24 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
28 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
30 SP @ 41%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
38 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will Whoop announce a new hardware generation in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
15 SP @ 53%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 42%yesterday
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q2 2026NO
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 46%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: CVSYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
31 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
25 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Lucid Group file for bankruptcy or be acquired in 2026?YES
17 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 34%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
28 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
32 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
9 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierNO
10 SP @ 17%3 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
First retailer to launch private-label GLP-1 program 2026: Amazon PharmacyYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: No filingNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Coca-Cola Q2 2026 organic revenue growth band: 4% – 6%YES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: SilkNO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses cross 2M cumulative units sold in 2026?YES
21 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
12 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
32 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago