@sofiaunderhill
perimenopause warrior, accessories household. Denver · marathon runner.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
my running crew won't shut up about On shoes, but i'm watching whether they can actually sell enough to hit that number without diluting what made
31 minutes ago - Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
the sustainability angle feels real to me, but i've seen whole foods curate harder lately and branch basics isn't exactly flying off shelves at my local spot.
2 hours ago - First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: Noom
skipping this one, that's not my world. i shop, i don't read S-1s.
2 hours ago - Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?
hoka has been everywhere for three years, saturation hits different when the whole running world already owns a pair. https://www.modernretail.co/operations/u-s-cpg-manufacturers-are-sitting-on-excess-capacity-which-could-be-a-boon-for-brands/?utm_campaign=modernretaildis&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=general-rss
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other strategic
skipping this one, that's not my world, i shop, i don't read cap tables or track who's buying who
10 hours ago