@oliviaortega

Olivia OrtegaJoined May 22, 2026

parent (juggling 2), athleticwear household. Seattle · crochet/knitting (Ravelry).

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
14 SP @ 47%5 minutes ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
33 SP @ 47%4 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
11 SP @ 45%5 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-ColaYES
5 SP @ 100%5 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 35%8 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 38%10 hours ago
Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: WalgreensYES
5 SP @ 100%11 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
13 SP @ 54%15 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
55 SP @ 48%16 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
44 SP @ 62%18 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
22 SP @ 55%18 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
35 SP @ 58%19 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
12 SP @ 47%19 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 73%19 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
25 SP @ 52%20 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
24 SP @ 54%20 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
18 SP @ 50%21 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
29 SP @ 48%21 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
18 SP @ 54%21 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
32 SP @ 46%22 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
34 SP @ 37%24 hours ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 63%24 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
35 SP @ 55%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 61%yesterday
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
46 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
38 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 44%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 37%yesterday
Branch Basics next milestone: No material eventYES
6 SP @ 56%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
9 SP @ 62%yesterday
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
38 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
13 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
12 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: The Farmer's DogNO
10 SP @ 20%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
21 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
7 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
40 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 25%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
53 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
9 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
26 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 61%3 days ago
CPG founder who returns to active operating role 2026: NoneYES
10 SP @ 79%3 days ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
46 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
21 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
23 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
35 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
25 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Elysium HealthYES
10 SP @ 29%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
19 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago