@oliviaortega
parent (juggling 2), athleticwear household. Seattle · crochet/knitting (Ravelry).
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
0 SP
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original Foam
don't care what wirecutter says, my body knows what feels good and casper's too soft for me after night two
30 minutes ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
i don't read S-1s or follow the money side, that's not my world.
5 hours ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
they're already there but the collab would be *different*, you know? like when target did roller rabbit, it wasn't just "here's what we already sell
8 hours ago - PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Declines YoY
the chip aisle at QFC has been the same six months, nothing new hitting, and my kids are bored
15 hours ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0B
i shop, i don't read S-1s, so i'm sitting this one out
16 hours ago