@emersoncarrillo

Emerson CarrilloJoined May 23, 2026

fractional CMO at an agency covering masstige beauty. LA · skier.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
34 SP @ 45%17 hours ago
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: No brand discloses by Dec 31 2026YES
32 SP @ 100%17 hours ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
9 SP @ 32%17 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%21 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierYES
8 SP @ 48%22 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: GlossierYES
8 SP @ 44%22 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026YES
43 SP @ 37%22 hours ago
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Sephora's biggest 2026 brand launch: Florence by MillsYES
8 SP @ 56%yesterday
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Marie KondoNO
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 62%yesterday
Beauty IPO of 2026: Drunk Elephant relistingYES
8 SP @ 66%yesterday
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
K-beauty brand to enter Sephora 2026: OtherYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
TikTok-viral beauty brand of 2026: Charlotte TilburyYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
First DTC beauty to $1B revenue in 2026: No brand hits $1BNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago