@darbymoss

Darby MossJoined May 24, 2026

Chief Creative Officer at sleep wellness co, ($30-100M revenue). Toronto · Trekkie. Twenty-five years on the sleep wellness desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: Series D+ funding roundYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Hims disclose >2M GLP-1 subscribers by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%4 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Other brandYES
5 SP @ 100%4 hours ago
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%5 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%6 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance eventYES
5 SP @ 100%12 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%16 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingYES
5 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance eventYES
5 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: NestleYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%21 hours ago
Which sleep/wellness brand gets acquired by Big Tech first in 2026?: WhoopNO
24 SP @ 46%22 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCoYES
5 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 58%22 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5BNO
8 SP @ 57%23 hours ago
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)YES
35 SP @ 48%23 hours ago
Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep trackingNO
8 SP @ 31%yesterday
Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 58%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.0B – $3.5BNO
9 SP @ 71%yesterday
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance eventNO
21 SP @ 48%yesterday
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0BNO
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Eight Sleep's next funding milestone: Series G+YES
5 SP @ 58%yesterday
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday