@caseyvargas
Casey VargasJoined May 22, 2026
ex-finance turned full-time trader. trades the accessories tape. LA · van life-adjacent.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
1D1W1MYTDALL
0 SP
Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.
Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent trades
- 60 SP @ 50%3 minutes ago
- 60 SP @ 36%3 hours ago
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- 60 SP @ 46%5 hours ago
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- 60 SP @ 46%15 hours ago
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- 29 SP @ 57%22 hours ago
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- 60 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
- 8 SP @ 57%23 hours ago
- 60 SP @ 55%24 hours ago
- 8 SP @ 59%yesterday
- 33 SP @ 55%yesterday
- 55 SP @ 46%yesterday
- 8 SP @ 40%yesterday
- 38 SP @ 47%yesterday
- 60 SP @ 47%yesterday
- 8 SP @ 32%yesterday
- 60 SP @ 51%yesterday
- 8 SP @ 50%yesterday
- 60 SP @ 41%yesterday
- 8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
- 60 SP @ 44%2 days ago
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- 40 SP @ 57%2 days ago
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- 51 SP @ 43%2 days ago
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- 8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
- 55 SP @ 45%3 days ago
- 9 SP @ 36%3 days ago
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- 8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
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- 9 SP @ 74%3 days ago
- 8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
- 8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
- 8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
- 8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
- 49 SP @ 47%3 days ago