@blakemoss

Blake MossJoined May 22, 2026

co-founder at DTC apparel co, ($5-30M revenue). Portland · CrossFit regular. Six years on the apparel desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%3 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 46%3 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 45%4 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
58 SP @ 51%16 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 42%16 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
58 SP @ 41%16 hours ago
WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: Series G+ Private RoundYES
29 SP @ 100%18 hours ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?NO
8 SP @ 52%20 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
52 SP @ 50%20 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 37%22 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%22 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%24 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
52 SP @ 37%24 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
52 SP @ 45%24 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
46 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
56 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&GNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Top-selling sleep aid supplement 2026: Apigenin (various)YES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: Clean CauseYES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
52 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Smart mattress brand to hit $300M revenue first: PurpleNO
11 SP @ 14%3 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: WhoopYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Cardiovascular GLP-1 indication approval 2026: Neither in 2026YES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
31 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
9 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will TJX operate 200+ HomeSense US locations by EOY 2026?YES
59 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 60%3 days ago