@blakehayes

Blake HayesJoined May 24, 2026

PE partner at a consumer PE shop covering eyewear. Nashville · new mom (Lucie's List). Twenty-five years sourcing eyewear deals.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%3 minutes ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
53 SP @ 50%3 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
37 SP @ 50%4 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
59 SP @ 38%13 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 37%15 hours ago
Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%19 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
5 SP @ 58%19 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 43%21 hours ago
Will Cava operate 100+ units outside the DMV region by EOY 2026?YES
30 SP @ 60%23 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
56 SP @ 54%23 hours ago
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%YES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
47 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
27 SP @ 48%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Culture PopNO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 36%yesterday
Hershey Q2 2026 net sales band: $2.8B – $3.0BNO
8 SP @ 41%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 34%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
19 SP @ 55%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
8 SP @ 39%yesterday
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q2 2026NO
9 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago