@audenblake

Auden BlakeJoined May 24, 2026

CMO at functional bev co, ($5-30M revenue). Seattle · audiophile. Fifteen years on the bev desk.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Apple TV+ acquire a streaming or studio asset in 2026?YES
20 SP @ 51%28 minutes ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%60 minutes ago
Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%2 hours ago
Will Spindrift expand into a new category by July 1, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 50%3 hours ago
Will Recess shut down or pivot away from sparkling water in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%4 hours ago
Will REI close one of its co-op retail stores in 2026?YES
19 SP @ 63%8 hours ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%8 hours ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?YES
21 SP @ 27%10 hours ago
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%15 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other strategicYES
53 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026YES
38 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will a functional beverage brand air a Super Bowl ad in 2027?YES
8 SP @ 56%22 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic Brewing (partial stake / minority investment)NO
20 SP @ 35%22 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Coca-ColaNO
28 SP @ 49%22 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Keurig Dr PepperNO
5 SP @ 45%22 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Partake BrewingNO
22 SP @ 42%yesterday
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: None of the aboveNO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Iced tea lineYES
8 SP @ 52%yesterday
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: No challenger adNO
8 SP @ 36%yesterday