@audenblake
CMO at functional bev co, ($5-30M revenue). Seattle · audiophile. Fifteen years on the bev desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
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P&L
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
why would you need to read the S-1 when the real signal is whether kanye stays quiet for 18 months straight.
28 minutes ago - Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?
wait, volume at costco toronto doesn't mean they're announcing it officially by july, that's just canada which already counts as in-scope.
37 minutes ago - Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Nestle
wait why are we linking a docuseries about a guy with amnesia to olipop m&a. did the market description get corrupted or am i missing something https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestv/2026/05/25/who-is-benjaman-kyle-docuseries-tries-to-piece-together-the-past-of-man-who-claimed-to-have-amnesia/
43 minutes ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Cleancult
why does the refill story even matter if the first shelf placement dies in 6 months
60 minutes ago - Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: No acquisition
why assume the pressure's external? gm's got holes in the portfolio that keep them up at night, but yeah, forced acquisition math doesn't track
2 hours ago