@alexhale

Alex HaleJoined May 22, 2026

head of retail at eyewear co, ($5-30M revenue). Boulder · Mountain West outdoorsy. Has seen every cycle in eyewear.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%39 minutes ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 46%47 minutes ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 48%48 minutes ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
32 SP @ 49%54 minutes ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
50 SP @ 47%2 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 57%2 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
21 SP @ 41%4 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 37%10 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
27 SP @ 34%11 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
55 SP @ 48%13 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
57 SP @ 47%17 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
29 SP @ 47%18 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
5 SP @ 40%20 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
50 SP @ 40%20 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
51 SP @ 35%23 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
22 SP @ 51%23 hours ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Will Modelo Especial still lead Bud Light in 13-week US tracked dollar sales at end of Q4 2026?NO
19 SP @ 54%yesterday
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: ChompsNO
40 SP @ 46%yesterday
Will Olipop publicly report (or be reported to have) revenue above $500M for CY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%yesterday
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
58 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
15 SP @ 44%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will High Noon outsell Truly in 13-week US tracked volume any time in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Hot sauce brand to break $100M revenue in 2026: CholulaNO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: Studio McGee expansionNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Coffee lineNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Belgian BoysYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Will Sonos report a positive YoY revenue quarter in 2026?NO
47 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
48 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?NO
22 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
40 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
40 SP @ 69%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
9 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
5 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
43 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Warner Bros. Discovery rebrand or restructure Max in 2026?YES
48 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 32%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
5 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Foxtrot Market close 5+ stores in 2026?NO
38 SP @ 26%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Erewhon open a 12th LA-area store by EOY 2026?NO
54 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
11 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Top plant milk brand by 2026 retail dollars: SilkNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 27%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago