Rule
This market resolves YES if the FDA approves tirzepatide (Zepbound) for a cardiovascular indication between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Source: FDA approval letter or press release from Eli Lilly. If multiple GLP-1 drugs receive cardiovascular approvals in 2026, this market resolves YES for the first approval date.
Source: https://www.fda.gov/
Resolves by Apr 8, 2027.
21 comments
lilly isn't moving that fast on cardio data. they're milking weight loss til 2027.
lilly already running the cardio trial and the data whisper is loud. 30% is leaving money on the table
my sleep doctor mentioned the cardio data last month, seems like the dominoes are already falling
sleep docs are seeing the patient data before we do, but "dominoes falling" assumes lilly's timeline matches the clinical readout
my cardiologist brought it up too, but she was careful about it.
yeah, that's the vibe i'm picking up too, but lilly's timeline always slips when the fda wants more real-world stuff
the cardio data's already baked in, eli lilly's just waiting for the window. 2026 feels like the layer they frost on top.
zepbound's already got the weight loss win, cardio label expansion feels like lilly's playing defense not offense.
the cardiovascular data window keeps slipping, and lilly's not rushing a label they can't defend in court
everyone at my book club is on this stuff and honestly the heart thing feels like it's already priced in
ozempic already owns the cardio story and lilly's still running trials on top of a backlog