@rubyalvarez

Ruby AlvarezJoined May 22, 2026

Target run veteran, athleticwear household. Seattle · Call Her Daddy listener.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
24 SP @ 50%2 minutes ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
33 SP @ 47%11 minutes ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
22 SP @ 35%3 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
21 SP @ 40%12 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
22 SP @ 48%12 hours ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q4 2026YES
5 SP @ 100%13 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
31 SP @ 47%15 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
41 SP @ 46%15 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
29 SP @ 53%18 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 43%18 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
6 SP @ 45%20 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
9 SP @ 43%20 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
26 SP @ 58%20 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
42 SP @ 49%20 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 60%21 hours ago
Will Ghia launch into Walmart by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 56%22 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 35%22 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
37 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
22 SP @ 40%22 hours ago
Will Meta launch the Quest 4 headset in 2026?NO
27 SP @ 62%22 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%22 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 42%22 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 50%23 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 53%24 hours ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveNO
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
28 SP @ 40%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
39 SP @ 56%yesterday
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: YachakNO
8 SP @ 35%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
First functional soda in Costco rotation 2026: Health-AdeYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q4 2026NO
9 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 67%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Apple ship a second-generation Vision Pro in 2026?NO
18 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
13 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
24 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
First snack brand to break $500M retail in 2026: Belgian BoysNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will the US federal EV tax credit ($7,500) survive intact through EOY 2026?YES
21 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: SnifNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 24%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
18 SP @ 69%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
9 SP @ 27%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
36 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 29%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
26 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
7 SP @ 54%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Hyundai-Kia outsell GM in any US monthly sales report in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
24 SP @ 59%4 days ago
Most-aggressive strategic in 2026 CPG M&A: UnileverNO
5 SP @ 19%4 days ago
Biggest CPG IPO of 2026 (company): No mega-IPONO
5 SP @ 45%4 days ago