@parkermoss

Parker MossJoined May 18, 2026

VP merchandising at athleticwear co, ($5-30M revenue). remote · Bridgerton fan. Has seen every cycle in athleticwear.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%5 minutes ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 50%31 minutes ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 45%34 minutes ago
Will Dandelion Chocolate be ranked #1 best chocolate chip cookies by @MissionLoco?YES
41 SP @ 46%56 minutes ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%2 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 42%8 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 41%8 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 38%8 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
60 SP @ 53%8 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 37%12 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%14 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%16 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%19 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 41%21 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Keurig Dr PepperYES
40 SP @ 49%21 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: No brand discloses by Dec 31 2026NO
40 SP @ 45%23 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%23 hours ago
Will Amazon force Alexa+ behind a paywall by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 37%23 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%24 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 37%24 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
50 SP @ 40%yesterday
First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: No brand discloses by Dec 31 2026NO
40 SP @ 50%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 38%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveNO
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: OlipopYES
8 SP @ 57%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Longevity startup IPO 2026: Tally HealthYES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 65%yesterday
Biggest CPG fundraise of 2026 (band): Under $50MYES
9 SP @ 70%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
10 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
42 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
6 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
First mushroom coffee to 1,000 Whole Foods doors: Earth EchoYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
39 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 33%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
19 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Liquid DeathYES
9 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
5 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
47 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Eli Lilly (tirzepatide)NO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
47 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
17 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
10 SP @ 28%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
24 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: No IPO filing in 2026NO
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
5 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Eli Lilly (tirzepatide)YES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
9 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
28 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
46 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Branch Basics next milestone: AcquiredYES
8 SP @ 64%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Top-selling energy drink under 25 in 2026: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
57 SP @ 61%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
6 SP @ 67%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
32 SP @ 63%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 33%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Soda alternativeNO
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: PlentyNO
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
29 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 62%4 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
35 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
22 SP @ 56%4 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
7 SP @ 51%4 days ago