@mayavega

Maya VegaJoined May 22, 2026

marathon training, athleticwear household. Seattle · natural wine acolyte.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
20 SP @ 42%17 minutes ago
Will a credible Sweetgreen acquisition rumor surface in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 53%50 minutes ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
14 SP @ 48%1 hour ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
48 SP @ 47%1 hour ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
14 SP @ 43%2 hours ago
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Other cereal brandYES
5 SP @ 100%2 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirerYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: None of the aboveYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 53%4 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%10 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
5 SP @ 40%15 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 40%15 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 51%15 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
31 SP @ 58%17 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%17 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
10 SP @ 62%18 hours ago
Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?NO
9 SP @ 24%18 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
20 SP @ 67%19 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 59%20 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
28 SP @ 59%20 hours ago
Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brandYES
5 SP @ 100%20 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%21 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 41%21 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
6 SP @ 41%22 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
36 SP @ 34%yesterday
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
32 SP @ 57%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
34 SP @ 56%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
23 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?NO
15 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
17 SP @ 49%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
23 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
First CPG company to file S-1 in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
22 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
5 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
21 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Target's biggest home brand launch 2026: OtherNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
5 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
10 SP @ 20%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Big-tech sleep acquisition 2026: Eight SleepYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Tirzepatide compounding outcome: Full ban with no shortage carve-outNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
33 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
21 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
9 SP @ 30%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q1 to Q2YES
8 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: SpermidineNO
5 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Magic SpoonYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
5 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago