@mayavega
marathon training, athleticwear household. Seattle · natural wine acolyte.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Trader Joe's open its first store in a new US state in 2026?
honestly the nine feels like noise to me, they're just filling in gaps in places they already own. new state would actually be a signal.
50 minutes ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: Blueland
lol yeah that link is completely unrelated, someone's probably just spamming markets. moving
2 hours ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
they fixed supply chain because they had to, not because they're done growing. lululemon buys taste, not volume.
2 hours ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
i shop at Fleet Feet and REI, not running in Ons anymore, and my crew switched back to Brooks and Hoka when the prices got weird.
3 hours ago - WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: Series G+ Private Round
no read on this, that's not my world, i shop, i don't follow funding rounds or IPO timelines.
3 hours ago