@lucymonroe

Lucy MonroeJoined May 22, 2026

Erewhon devotee, eyewear household. Boulder · Marie Kondo minimalist.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 53%3 minutes ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
9 SP @ 46%32 minutes ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
24 SP @ 47%59 minutes ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
9 SP @ 51%3 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
29 SP @ 40%4 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
11 SP @ 36%8 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
8 SP @ 39%9 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
26 SP @ 49%9 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%12 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
21 SP @ 46%13 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
13 SP @ 55%14 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
11 SP @ 58%14 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
5 SP @ 58%15 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
20 SP @ 47%15 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
20 SP @ 44%16 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
19 SP @ 50%17 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
27 SP @ 60%18 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
13 SP @ 43%19 hours ago
Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Athletic Brewing (partial stake / minority investment)YES
14 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
9 SP @ 46%19 hours ago
WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: No qualifying eventYES
21 SP @ 100%19 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
30 SP @ 62%19 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
25 SP @ 48%19 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
28 SP @ 47%20 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
6 SP @ 59%22 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
15 SP @ 46%23 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
26 SP @ 34%23 hours ago
First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brandNO
10 SP @ 39%23 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
12 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
11 SP @ 41%yesterday
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
11 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
6 SP @ 62%yesterday
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
19 SP @ 65%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
9 SP @ 29%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
30 SP @ 56%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 33%yesterday
Biggest CPG SPAC of 2026: No CPG SPAC mergersYES
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: CoQ10YES
7 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Beauty IPO of 2026: TatchaYES
6 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?NO
23 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 71%2 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?YES
32 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Fastest-growing frozen food brand 2026: Daily HarvestNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
12 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Liquid Death's next category expansion by July 31, 2026: Soda alternativeYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
7 SP @ 66%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
5 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
First fresh pet food brand into Costco: The Farmer's DogNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
20 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
9 SP @ 26%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
10 SP @ 27%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
5 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
9 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?NO
26 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
5 SP @ 29%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
First refillable cleaning brand into Walmart national 2026: Branch BasicsYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago